WTA Indian Wells Betting Tips & Predictions | Our Picks For This Week’s Tennis – livetennis.com


Iga Swiatek is back in California to defend her Indian Wells title from 2022. However, the rest of the top players in the world are ready to challenge the world #1 in a fabulous looking tournament.

Indian Wells is the second WTA1000 series event of the season and it was at this point of the season last year when Ash Barty decided to retire from tennis and Iga Swiatek bloomed into a dominant player on the circuit.

However, last week in Dubai showed that Swiatek can still be beaten and is potentially vulnerable under pressure. The champion from that tournament, Barbora Krejcikova, is here, along with Australian Open champion Aryna Sabalenka, and a host of other players wanting to take home the ranking points and winnings.

The ATP Indian Wells in-depth preview is also on site to read.


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WTA Indian Wells Betting Tips

Belinda Bencic 1pt EW @ 22/1 with Bet365

Elena Rybakina 1pt @ 20/1 with Bet365

Beatriz Haddad Maia 0.25pt @ 80/1 with Bet365

Event In Focus: WTA Indian Wells

The analysis grid this week doesn’t cover the whole field. The sixteen seeded players are covered alongside other fancied players from outside of the top 16 seedings.

Rankings & 12-month Form

From this it is easy to see how dominant Iga Swiatek has been in the last twelve months. Her games won record is off-the-scale, 110 would usually be considered world class, but Swiatek is far beyond that.

A number of players are above the 110 mark, but it is Jessica Pegula who has the next best games won ratio, a full 18% below Swiatek. Belinda Bencic’s numbers are very good, a high win percentage and over 110 for games won.

The sheer number of matches that Caroline Garcia and Beatriz Haddad Maia have played in twelve months are standouts, Garcia has kept a high winning percentage across those. The Frenchwoman also carries the most unbreakable serve by sheer numbers over the season, though her return game doesn’t match up to most of the other top women.

Other long shots that have something going for them include Marketa Vondrousova, who’s hard court ranking is much higher than her current WTA ranking. Also, it is really interesting to see how different Darya Kasatina is to the rest of the field in her game style. Her serve is easily broken, but her return game is so much better than most that she is able to win enough matches to be competitive.

Hard Court & Other Form Data

Taking into account the surface type in Indian Wells we are able to break down the players’ career performance on hard courts on the WTA Tour. These records include qualifying rounds. With the best players in the world here it was worth compiling the players’ recent record against the Top 10, and also their win/loss records in North America, as sometimes players play particularly well in certain conditions.

For the last few events I’ve been able to point out that Victoria Azarenka still has the best hard court record in the game. Not any more. As predicted two weeks ago, Iga Swiatek overtook the percentage of games won by the Belarusian during WTA Dubai.

Elena Rybakina looks to have the best serve on hard courts at the moment, which is always a good position to be in, if you can find your return game on any given day then you’re in with a great chance of the win. Jelena Ostapenko’s career hard court data is poor, but is actually improving.

Important Form Points

Amanda Anisimova is clearly in very poor form at the moment and can’t really be considered for the win here. Aryna Sabalenka has the best current form in the field.

Swiatek obviously has excellent form against the other greats of the game. Interestingly, Haddad Maia and Krejcikova can also seem to raise their game against the best. Whereas Marta Kostyuk has never experienced a win against the top ten, Ons Jabeur and Coco Gauff clearly have something to improve in the hardest matches.

It is also interesting that there are a few players that seem to not have brought their best game to North America as yet in Rybakina, Sabalenka, and Krejcikova. Whereas Jabeur and Kasatkina have done well in the continent in comparison to their general careers.

WTA Indian Wells Draw

Indian Wells has a 32-seed, 96-player draw. The 32 seeds will be given a bye into the second round. The draw will be posted here once it has been conducted.

WTA Indian Wells Betting Tips

The bottom quarter of this draw is absolutely stacked. A lot of the potential winners or genuine challengers to Iga Swiatek reside in the bottom half with Aryna Sabalenka, Barbora Krejcikova, an in-form Donna Vekic, and Belinda Bencic all in the same quarter.

Belinda Bencic 1pt EW @ 22/1 with Bet365

It is a bit of a shame that Bencic has a fairly difficult draw as she is one that I am keen to side with in this event. She is playing the most consistent tennis of her life and approaching the peak of her powers.

The data above suggests that there are very few weaknesses in her overall profile and having won Olympic Gold we know that she is capable of winning the biggest events on a hard court surface. Bencic’s return game is the one thing that needs to be working well this week to give her a chance at overall glory, if this is firing early on then by the time she faces the other big players she could be ready to take them out.

Elena Rybakina 1pt @ 20/1 with Bet365

Rybakina is in Iga Swiatek’s half of the draw, but the opposite quarter. That would mean that she could be a potential opponent to the Pole in the semi=finals.

If the Ukrainian makes it that far, she has a history of withdrawing from events that does concern me slightly, then she is one of the few that has the weapons capable of blowing even Swiatek off the court. This is enough reason to get behind her and give Rybakina a chance to make  deep run at a good price.

Beatriz Haddad Maia 0.25pt @ 80/1 with Bet365

I thin Haddad Maia has been underestimated a touch with this price. She has decent data over a long period now and a good record against the top players. She is close to Swiatek in the draw but if the Pole isn’t going to win it then someone will have to do the job. It could be the Brazilian. A small wager at the prices.

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