What is a Scorigami and how can you bet on it for the Super Bowl 58 Chiefs vs. 49ers matchup?


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Will Super Bowl 58 feature a final score unique in NFL history?

If so, we will have ourselves a Super Scorigami.

You can bet on it with FanDuel and DraftKings Sportsbooks posting “Yes” and “No” odds on the novelty prop.

Below we discuss Scorigami history and the chances of seeing one when the Kansas City Chiefs face the San Francisco 49ers this coming Sunday (6:30 p.m. ET) in Las Vegas.

Wager on Scorigami and other Super Bowl props while taking advantage of our top online sportsbook welcome promo code offers which currently are worth more than a combined $4,500 in new-customer bonuses.

And for the latest on the Big Game moneylines and point spreads, visit our Super Bowl 58 odds page.

Super Bowl 58 Scorigami odds: Term is celebrating 10th birthday

Sports writer Jon Bois was intrigued by the NFL’s unusual point values for scoring plays and decided to chart the occurrence of final scores in league history.

He dubbed a never-before-seen scoreline a “Scorigami.”

And likely not coincidentally, the term was coined not long after the Seattle Seahawks routed the Denver Broncos 43-8 in Super Bowl 48 — the third and most recent unique NFL game score to occur in a Super Bowl.

Entering Super Bowl 58, 17,179 NFL (and AFL) games have been played since the current league’s inception in 1920.

And we still see a smattering of unique final scores each season, including nine during the 2023 regular season.

The most recent occurred in Week 17 when the Baltimore Ravens beat the Miami Dolphins 56-19 for Scorigami No. 1,084.

Bois charts all of them on his NFL Scorigami website while the Scorigami Twitter account updates their chances during live games.

While the chances of future NFL Scorigamis naturally decrease with each new occurrence, there is still ample uncharted territory.

Going up to 70-70, there are still are more than 1,460 final scores that have yet to happen.

That list includes the “unicorn” of NFL Scorigamis — a 6-1 final score.

Yes, that unlikely combo has been possible since 2015 when the NFL first allowed for a 1-point defensive conversion safety to be scored on a post-touchdown 2-point conversion or extra-point attempt by the opposition.

Note that with a 1-point conversion safety serving as the losing team’s only points, final game scores of 6-1 or 8-1 or greater are possible, but not 7-1.

Super Bowl 58 Scorigami odds: Yes would pay up to 25-1

As aforementioned, three of the 1,084 NFL Scorigamis have occurred in the Super Bowl. And all, amazingly, involved double-digit losses by the Broncos:

  • Super Bowl 21 (1987): New York Giants 39, Broncos 20
  • Super Bowl 24 (1990): 49ers 55, Broncos 10
  • Super Bowl 48 (2014): Seahawks 43, Broncos 8

So what are the chances the Chiefs and 49ers will strike a Sin City Scorigami jackpot Sunday night?

Going strictly by the rate of occurrence this season — nine Scorigamis in 284 games, including the playoffs — we come up with a 3.17 percent chance.

Using an implied probability calculator, that translates to “Yes” and “No” odds of +3050 and -3050, respectively.

But, of course, sportsbooks are always going to limit their liabilities on long-shot props.

And so the Scorigami odds were as follows as of early Super Bowl week:

So a $100 winning “Yes” Scorigami wager on FanDuel would pay out $2,600 ($2,500 in winnings plus your $100 stake) while a winning $100 “No” bet on either site would return just $101.

With Patrick Mahomes on one side and a talented corps of 49ers offensive play-makers on the other, a Super Bowl 58 Scorigami certainly isn’t out of the realm of possibilities.

If we get a rogue safety or two and/or have some wayward extra-point kicks along the way, we could wind up with a final score of, say, 25-18, 32-22 or 32-26 — all of which are open Scorigami squares.

But it’s still very unlikely we’ll see a fourth Super Scorigami.

So we’d recommend throwing a just-for-kicks maximum of up to $50 down on FanDuel’s “Yes” — and then splash it all over social media if that “unique” ticket does indeed cash.


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2024 Super Bowl Odds: 49ers holding steady as favorites vs. defending-champion Chiefs

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