Milwaukee Bucks at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

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The Milwaukee Bucks (48-18) and Golden State Warriors (34-33) meet Saturday at Chase Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Bucks failed to cover the spread as 9.5-point home favorites Thursday in a 118-113 win vs. the Brooklyn Nets. Milwaukee was winning by as many as 22 points in the 3rd quarter before eventually blowing the cover.

The Warriors failed to cover as 2.5-point favorites Thursday in a 131-110 loss at the Memphis Grizzlies. Golden State was outscored 48-28 in the 1st quarter and lost its 8th straight road game dating back to Feb. 1.

This is the 2nd meeting this season between these teams. Milwaukee covered as a 3-point home favorite in a 128-111 win Dec. 13 as the Over (232) cashed.

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Bucks at Warriors odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:18 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bucks -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Warriors -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks +1.5 (-115) | Warriors -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 240.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Bucks at Warriors key injuries

Bucks

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (hand) questionable
  • Wesley Matthews (calf) out

Warriors

  • Andre Iguodala (hip) probable
  • Jonathan Kuminga (ankle) out
  • Klay Thompson (knee) probable
  • Andrew Wiggins (personal) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Bucks at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 118, Bucks 116

Moneyline

BET WARRIORS (-115).

Golden State has the 5th-highest win rate at home, winning 79.4% of its games at Chase Center (27-7). The Warriors and Bucks have traded wins and losses over the last 5 meetings dating back to 2020, and Golden State will be in a revenge spot after losing to Milwaukee Dec. 13. Look for the Warriors to come out extra focused Saturday.

Against the spread

PASS.

There is no need to bet on this spread when the Warriors are getting a good price on the moneyline. Bet Golden State straight up and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 240.5 (-115).

The Under is 28-10 in Milwaukee’s last 38 road games and 5-0 in Golden State’s last 5 contests at home. Look for the Warriors to bounce back defensively after a poor showing last time out as the Under is 5-2 in Golden State’s last 7 games after allowing 100 or more points in its previous contest.

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